), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Don't miss out! In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. Energy & utilities. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" UK general election polls 2023 | Statista A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Please try different keywords. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. The poll for the Sun found. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. conducted. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. King Charles III retains popular support in Wales, new poll shows, but For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. Pollster. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? Scottish independence: yes campaign gets poll boost A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? You can unsubscribe whenever you want. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. US ; About ; For business ; . Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. All Rights Reserved. An existing account was found for this email address. We will not share your email address with any third parties. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Early 2021. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. Which party will you vote for? Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. The latest Panelbase survey. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. We list the most recent surveys: Wings Over Scotland poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 14 Feb 2023: Confirmation Bias for BeginnersFull results, By well over 2 to 1, respondents felt that they were being let down by the people who are supposed to speak for them. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election Question asked. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Relevance is automatically assessed so some headlines not qualifying as Scottish Opinion Poll news might appear - please feel free to contact us regarding any persistent issues. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald.